Is the Bitcoin (BTC) Rainbow Chart reliable?

Is the Bitcoin (BTC) Rainbow Chart reliable?

There are many cryptocurrency trading tools designed to help investors make decisions.

Due to the inherent volatility of crypto, these tools are not necessarily 100% accurate.

The functioning of the market is dynamic and more than one factor is responsible for the upward and downward trends in market prices.

With BTC, these changes are even more profound and affect the fortunes of altcoins in the market.

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart was designed to help investors predict market fortunes and know when to buy, sell, and hold cryptocurrency.

However, experts doubt its long-term and short-term reliability. Also, the current market trends have been so divergent that they negate any real attempt to predict the market.

Nevertheless, the BTC Rainbow Chart remains a popular tool for many traders. Read on to learn more about it and whether it is ideal to use for Bitcoin investing.

If 2021 was the year of the crypto boom, 2022 was the opposite.

In short, the crypto markets are currently in a state of meltdown. May and June saw the worst declines, with roughly $1 trillion in cryptocurrency values ​​lost. Bitcoin was the hardest hit, with peak prices of $69,000 at the end of 2021 slipping to below $20,000 in mid-2022.

The impact has been profound for many investors with Bitcoin in their portfolios looking for long-term profits. Mining companies around the world have also been hit hard.

Given that the global economy is still reeling from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, such a bad market trend could not have come at a worse time for investors.

Nevertheless, BTC prices continue to fall, with the expected increase in US federal interest rates certainly having a negative impact on cryptocurrency prices.

BTC hasn’t been the only scapegoat in the downtrend. Ethereum prices fell and fell by almost 70%, also reflecting the fortunes of BTC. In contrast, ETH was trading near $5,000 at the end of 2021.

Altcoins like Cardano, XRO, and Cardano also suffered declines, but not as drastic as those of BTC and ETH.

Traditional stock markets also suffered, with major indexes like the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average taking major hits.

This link between cryptocurrencies and traditional stocks is true because institutional and retail investors are investing more in crypto than before.

Experts predict this trend will continue for the foreseeable future. However, it is important to note that digital stocks like BTC are very different from traditional stocks.

This is why it is so difficult to predict its rise and fall. With the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, this task is made somewhat easy.

Let’s take a look at this interesting tool and how it works.

What is the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart?

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart was originally created to serve as an interesting visualization for bitcoin enthusiasts to enjoy. However, it took on more useful purposes as it was found to have a high degree of accuracy.

The tool was originally developed in 2014 by Reddit user Trololo. Later, it was improved by another person, the CEO of Holger, who introduced his unique technique of logarithmic regression.

The tool was designed to highlight marked changes in BTC prices. Since then, it has been adopted by many investors for the development of long-term strategies.

The chart includes different colored bands similar to a real rainbow, with each color indicating when to make moves in the market.

There are nine colors in total, with blue and red being the boundaries at each end. When the line moves towards the blue band, it means the price of BTC is falling, while moving in the opposite direction to the red band indicates price appreciation.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Bitcoin Rainbow Chart

Although a popular tool with investors around the world, the BTC Rainbow Chart has its own drawbacks.

Certainly, it has a long history of consistent accuracy. The logarithmic regression technique, in particular, is a great tool for multiple assets with different levels of volatility.

With the BTC Rainbow Chart, investors find it easier to buy, sell or hold cryptos.

However, there are notable downsides.

The accuracy of the tool decreases noticeably when applied to long-term investment strategies. Despite its track record for accuracy, there is no guarantee that this trend will continue in the long term.

The nine bands of the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart indicate the following:

Blue: Sell!

Blue-green: Purchase

Green: HODL

Light green: Undervalued and affordable

Yellow: Hang on to BTC

Light orange: Potential market bubble

Orange: Fear of missing something

Red: Sell

Dark red: Maximum market bubble

BTC Rainbow Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is a unique asset class, not because it’s a revolutionary digital payment method, but because its prices change so quickly and often.

Despite being in high demand, characterized by its general upward price adjustments, BTC remains subject to market cycles.

In these marker cycles, its prices frequently alternate, rising and falling sharply. Therefore, investors should be careful when investing in such an asset.

The BTC rainbow chart provides an illustrated overview of prices in market cycles. The insights from the tool’s analysis can help make informed investment decisions.

However, it has no scientific basis and as such it does not count as investment advice.

When the market is overheating, the line drifts to the upper colors of the chart, and many investors have managed to capitalize on this trend in the past.

A shift towards the opposite end of the Rainbow spectrum indicates a depression in the market, where investors are selling assets and generally not interested in buying the token. The chart indicates that this period is often the best time for investors to buy low and hold tokens.

As a result, the BTC Rainbow Chart has strong accuracy support, as its movements have not deviated from actual market trends for many years. Therefore, most traders adhering to his predictions made a profit.

Investors should note that the chart’s regression lines are based on long-term price movements, although the tool is based on recent market data.

Since the graph compares adoption rates and future prices, there is no need to make regular adjustments that would have been useful for short-term forecasting.

The lines of the logarithmic regression chart consist of the upper and lower market prices. Therefore, potential price movements in the middle of the fixed ranges will not be reliable.

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Alternatives – Trading Bots

Trading bots are not precisely crypto prediction tools. However, they are excellent at making trades and executing trades on behalf of investors.

This is an innovation that is rapidly gaining popularity with many investors.

By subscribing to a trading bot tool, you can get AI-powered insight into trading and investing decisions. With each bot offering various unique features, strengths, and specializations, it’s essential to choose the one that best suits your needs.

After downloading the code from the developer, you can continue to integrate them into your trading platform.

A crypto bot is not going to replace your decision making on different exchanges. You will still need to fund your wallet and make deposits. To a large extent, the final choice is always yours.

However, a trading robot can be very effective when used with other trading tools such as a Bitcoin Rainbow Chart.

This is far from a get-rich-quick scheme for investors because you will still have to work. Therefore, you always need a solid understanding of the Bitcoin market, especially the factors that influence the rise and fall of the crypto.

Genuine crypto recommendations and real scams can be hard to tell apart, as many sharks are waiting for you to make a mistake and steal your money.

With a unique trading strategy, you can avoid these pitfalls. Whenever you get damning information about Bitcoin, take a step back to analyze things objectively.

In addition, you must learn to manage risk. Avoid going all out and only bet what you can afford to lose. To do this, it is best to set limits on each investment.

Just as well, portfolio diversification is a smart technique. Bitcoin is a great asset to keep for the long term. However, you should top it all off with some promising altcoins, especially Ethereum.

A long-term perspective is the best trading strategy. Avoid buying the dip just because everyone else is doing it. That the price of BTC is low does not necessarily mean that you are getting a good deal.


There is no fixed or guaranteed method for predicting cryptocurrency prices.

With tools like the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, investors can make reasonably accurate long-term price predictions to make the right choices in the crypto market.

Although the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart has shown high levels of accuracy throughout its 8-year history, it is still not foolproof advice. You can make mistakes, which is not the best short-term forecasting tool.

To be a successful investor, you need to combine trading tools like the BTC Rainbow Chart with other methods like trading bots and have excellent knowledge of how the market works. The latter cannot be overstated.

Contrary to what many people think, crypto investing is not easy money, and you need to work hard to earn regular income from it.

Staying up to date with the latest market trends and updating your knowledge base on trading techniques and blockchain technology is your surest way to success.


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